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ispapertriestoexplorequantitativelytheplexrelationshipbetweengovernmentgovernanceandpoliticaltrustintransitionChina,especiallytheeffectofeconomicdevelopment,socialwelfareandpurepublicgoodssupplyonpoliticaltrust.OLSmodelshowsthatthereisasignificantrelationshipbetweenthepositiveretrospectiveandprospectiveassessmentofeconomicdevelopment,socialwelfareandpublicgoodssupplyandhighlevelofpoliticaltrust,andyetretrospectiveassessmentshavemoreexplanatorypowerthanprospectiveones.等等等等等等等等等等等等等等..

KeywordsGovernmentgovernance,Politicaltrust,Economicdevelopment,Socialwelfare,Purepublicgoods

1Introduction

Since21stcentury,Chinesegovernmenthasbeensparingnoefforttobuildaharmonioussociety.Theconstructionofservice-orientedgovernmentandenhancingthegovernmentgovernancelevel,therefore,beetheindispensablewaytofulfillthisstrategicaim.

"Economicdevelopmentasthecentreofcountrydevelopment"hasnotbeentheonlygovernancemodeafter2003,andChinesegovernmentgraduallyimplementthe"multiplegovernancemodeofsocial,economicandinstitutionaldevelopment"aroundthecountry.Indetail,governmentisnotonlyconcernedabouttherapidgrowthofeconomy,butalsoinvestshugehumanandmaterialresourcesintheareaofeducation,health,socialsecurity,andotheraspectsofsocialwelfare.Moreover,purepublicgoodssupply,suchassocialgovernance,publicsafetyandinstitutionconstruction,alsoattainmuchmoreattentionthanever等等等等等等等等等等等等等等等..

2Theoreticalframeworkandresearchhypothesis

2.1Politicaltrust

Theliteraturesonpoliticaltrusthavealongacademichistory.Forexample,Almend,VerbaandEaston,threemostfamouspoliticalscientistshasdonemuchtoexplorepoliticaltrust,itshouldbeadmittedthatAlmendandVerbastartedtheempiricaltraditiontoresearchpoliticaltrust(AlmendandVerba,1963[1]).等等等等等.

2.2Approachestoexplainpoliticaltrust

Manymodelshavebeenexploredtoexplainpoliticaltrustanditsrecentdeclineinadvancedindustrialcountries.Usingcrossnationaldata,NewtonandNorristestedthreepetitiveexplanations:socialpsychologicalmodel,socialandculturalmodel,governmentperformanceandpoliticalinstitutionsmodel(NewtonandNorris,1997[7]).AccordingtoMishlerandRose,mostresearchescanbeattributedtotwoapproaches:institutionalexplanationsandculturalexplanations(MishlerandRose,2001[8],Newton,2001[9]).等等等等等等

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2.3Governmentgovernanceandpoliticaltrust

Thestudiesofhowgovernmentperformanceaffectspoliticaltrusthavegrownrapidlyduringthepastfewdecades,especiallyinadvancedindustrialcountries(Citrin,1974[14],Hetherington,2005[15]).However,somesubstantialdebatesstillexisted.等等等等..

2.4Researchhypothesis

(1)Governanceassessmenthypothesis:thehigherthecitizens'assessmentofgovernance,thehigherthepoliticaltrust.

(2)Retrospective-prospectivehypothesis:paredwithprospectiveassessments,citizens'retrospectiveassessmentsofgovernancehavestrongerinfluenceonpoliticaltrust.

(3)Economicdevelopment-socialwelfare-purepublicgoodssupplyhypothesis:paredwitheconomicdevelopment,citizens'assessmentofpurepublicgoodssupplyandsocialwelfarehavestrongerinfluenceonpoliticaltrust.

(4)Countygovernanceperformancehypothesis:percapitaGDPandpercapitawelfarefiscalexpenditureatcountylevelhelptoimproveaveragepoliticaltrustatcountylevel.Besides,bothcountyunemploymentrateandGinicoefficienthaveanegativeinfluenceonaveragepoliticaltrustatcountylevel.

3Researchdesign

ResearchershaveconductedafewstudiesonpoliticaltrustintransitionChina,however,mostofliteraturesarebasedonnormativeorqualitativeresearch,quantitativepapersusingsurveydataarestillrare.Asaresult,wehavenoideaaboutitsrepresentativenessandobjectivity.Thispapertriestoempiricallytestresearchhypothesisaboveusingquantitativemethod.Quantitativeresearch,notonlyoveretheproblemsofrepresentativenessandobjectivity,butalsolookintotheeffectofindependentvariablesondependentvariables,aftercontrollingothervariables.

3.1Data

Thedataincludestwosources:individualleveldataefrom2016ChinesePublicAttitudestowardsCitizenshipNationalSurvey,countyleveldataisderivedfromgovernmentinformationsource,suchas"ChinaStatisticalYearbookforRegionalEconomy(2016)","ChinaCountySocialEconomicStatisticalYearbook(2016)"andgovernmentwebsites等等等等等等等等等等.

等等等等等等等等等等等等等等等等等等等等等.

3.2Variables

Dependentvariable

Politicaltrustreferstocitizens'trustdegreetokindsofpoliticalinstitutions.Indetail,it'sasumofrespondent'strustdegreetoninekindsofpoliticalinstitutions,includingcentralgovernment,courts,people'scongress,village/neighborhoodmittees,CCP,procuratorates,county/citygovernment,mediaandpublicsecurityans.Theseriesofvariablesindicateexcellentreliabilitybeforebeingsummedup(Cronbach'sAlpha等于0.903).

Figure1PoliticaltrustintransitionChina(percent,%)

AlthoughonlyseveralstudieshaveconductedquantitativemeasureonpoliticaltrustintransitionChina,almostalltheresultsindicateChin

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